{"id":23739,"date":"2023-12-06T08:51:31","date_gmt":"2023-12-06T08:51:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/su-dinh-tre-stagnation-trong-nen-kinh-te-la-gi-nguyen-nhan-gay-ra-dinh-tre-trong-nen-kinh-te.html"},"modified":"2023-12-22T09:03:05","modified_gmt":"2023-12-22T02:03:05","slug":"su-dinh-tre-stagnation-trong-nen-kinh-te-la-gi-nguyen-nhan-gay-ra-dinh-tre-trong-nen-kinh-te","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/su-dinh-tre-stagnation-trong-nen-kinh-te-la-gi-nguyen-nhan-gay-ra-dinh-tre-trong-nen-kinh-te.html","title":{"rendered":"S\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 (Stagnation) trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u00e0 g\u00ec? Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n g\u00e2y ra \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda: Your Training Edge<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

S\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7<\/font><\/h2>\n

Kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m<\/b><\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7<\/b> trong ti\u1ebfng Anh l\u00e0 Stagnation.<\/b><\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 <\/b>kinh t\u1ebf ch\u1ec9 hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf th\u1ea5p su\u1ed1t m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi k\u00ec d\u00e0i. S\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 x\u1ea3y ra khi kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng h\u00e0ng n\u0103m th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 2-3% v\u00e0 t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111i\u1ec3m. S\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra \u1edf m\u1ee9c kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 ho\u1eb7c kinh t\u1ebf v\u1eeba v\u00e0 nh\u1ecf, trong m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i n\u1ec1n c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ty. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 suy tho\u00e1i hay nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n l\u00e2u d\u00e0i n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf<\/font><\/h3>\n

S\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf x\u1ea3y ra khi t\u1ed5ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m r\u01a1i v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng gi\u1ea3m, kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i ho\u1eb7c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm. Th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p k\u00e9o d\u00e0i c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ecb \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ng\u01b0ng tr\u1ec7 trong t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ngh\u1ec1 nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c thu nh\u1eadp, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 l\u00e0m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n “b\u1ed1c h\u01a1i”. T\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng n\u00e0y l\u00e0 h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 theo chu k\u00ec<\/b><\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 thi tho\u1ea3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi trong chu k\u00ec ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ho\u1eb7c c\u1ee7a ri\u00eang h\u1ed9 kinh doanh.\u00a0<\/p>\n

V\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2012, trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n cu\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c \u0110\u1ea1i suy tho\u00e1i, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 xem x\u00e9t vi\u1ec7c n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 ba l\u00e0 c\u1ef1c k\u00ec c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00fap M\u0129 tr\u00e1nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. Ki\u1ec3u \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 n\u00e0y mang t\u00ednh chu k\u00ec v\u00e0 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng c\u00fa s\u1ed1c trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf<\/b><\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t ho\u1eb7c ‘c\u00fa s\u1ed1c’ c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. Nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mang t\u00ednh ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n ho\u1eb7c c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u00e2u d\u00e0i t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o t\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u00f3 ho\u1eb7c kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. Chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3i ngh\u00e8o l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n kh\u00e1ch quan \u0111i\u1ec3n h\u00ecnh.\u00a0<\/p>\n

C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd trong gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u ho\u1eb7c s\u1ef1 gi\u1ea3m trong nhu c\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ng\u01b0ng tr\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf h\u1ecdc \u2013 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 thuy\u1ebft chu k\u00ec kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf cho r\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00f3 c\u0169ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 chu k\u00ec ch\u1eadm ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 theo c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac<\/b><\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n mang t\u00ednh l\u00e2u d\u00e0i v\u00e0 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac trong x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i. Khi s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 x\u1ea3y ra trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i l\u00e2u h\u01a1n n\u1ebfu n\u00f3 l\u00e0 h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng ‘c\u00fa s\u1ed1c’ trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ho\u1eb7c trong chu k\u00ec kinh doanh th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

T\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra trong c\u1ea3 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn. C\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf n\u00e0y bao g\u1ed3m nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1eb7c tr\u01b0ng n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt nh\u01b0 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 ch\u1eadm, c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c kinh doanh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u1eadm.\u00a0<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ed5 \u0111i\u1ec3n cho r\u1eb1ng lo\u1ea1i \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 n\u00e0y lu\u00f4n \u1edf tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ee9ng y\u00ean, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf h\u1ecdc Keynes th\u00ec xem x\u00e9t t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng n\u00e0y nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 mang t\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t th\u1ebf k\u1ec9 c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn. C\u00e1c nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 mang t\u00ednh th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 tranh ch\u1ea5p quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c trong ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng ng\u01b0ng tr\u1ec7. Vi\u1ec7c T\u00e2y \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ea3i qua giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 n\u00e0y trong su\u1ed1t nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1970 v\u00e0 1980 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u00ed d\u1ee5 \u0111i\u1ec3n h\u00ecnh.<\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i ra<\/b>, t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf k\u00e9m v\u00e0 \u0111ang trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n. Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n l\u00e0 do thi\u1ebfu s\u1ef1 c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch trong t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn thi\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n. Th\u00eam v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u1edbi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n ho\u1eb7c k\u00e9m ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1eafc k\u1eb9t trong tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng do c\u00e1c nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 mang t\u00ednh kinh t\u1ebf ho\u1eb7c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean ho\u1eb7c th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 v\u01a1 v\u00e9t c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c \u0111\u1eb7c tr\u01b0ng mang t\u00ednh v\u0103n h\u00f3a v\u00e0 d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 ng\u01b0ng tr\u1ec7. M\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n v\u0103n h\u00f3a v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tin t\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ea5p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng x\u1ea5u \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf do h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng kh\u00edch l\u1ec7 s\u1ef1 tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 lu\u1eadt l\u1ec7. N\u1ebfu d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 c\u00f3 d\u00e2n tr\u00ed th\u1ea5p c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi t\u1ea7m nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p, b\u1ec7nh t\u1eadt cao c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

(Theo Investopedia<\/i>)<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\n S\u1ef1 \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 kinh t\u1ebf (ti\u1ebfng Anh: Stagnation) ch\u1ec9 hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf th\u1ea5p su\u1ed1t m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi k\u00ec d\u00e0i.\n <\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[414],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23739"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23739"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23739\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23739"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23739"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23739"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}