{"id":23837,"date":"2023-12-06T08:56:06","date_gmt":"2023-12-06T08:56:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/thien-lech-boi-ket-qua-outcome-bias-la-gi-dac-diem.html"},"modified":"2023-12-22T09:09:03","modified_gmt":"2023-12-22T02:09:03","slug":"thien-lech-boi-ket-qua-outcome-bias-la-gi-dac-diem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/thien-lech-boi-ket-qua-outcome-bias-la-gi-dac-diem.html","title":{"rendered":"Thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch b\u1edfi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 (Outcome Bias) l\u00e0 g\u00ec? \u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m"},"content":{"rendered":"
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(\u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda: Timnations)<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch b\u1edfi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3<\/span><\/font><\/h2>\n

Kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m<\/b><\/p>\n

Thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch b\u1edfi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3<\/span><\/b> trong ti\u1ebfng Anh l\u00e0 Outcome Bias<\/b>.<\/p>\n

Thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch b\u1edfi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3<\/span><\/b>\u00a0x\u1ea3y ra khi m\u1ed9t quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9.<\/p>\n

Thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch b\u1edfi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3<\/span> kh\u00f4ng li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, m\u00e0 thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 qu\u00e1 coi tr\u1ecdng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3.<\/p>\n

Kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0\u00a0thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c mu\u1ed9n\u00a0(Hindsight bias), thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch b\u1edfi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3<\/span> kh\u00f4ng li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn d\u1ea1ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a Thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch b\u1edfi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3<\/span><\/font><\/h3>\n

Thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch b\u1edfi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3<\/span> <\/b>c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nguy hi\u1ec3m h\u01a1n thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c mu\u1ed9n \u1edf ch\u1ed7 n\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

V\u00ed d\u1ee5, m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n sau khi \u0111\u00e3 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u v\u00e0 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn l\u1edbn m\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n khi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t l\u1ea1i \u1edf m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

Thay v\u00ec nh\u00ecn v\u00e0o c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ed3ng nghi\u1ec7p, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf n\u00f3i chung ho\u1eb7c hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 \u0111ang t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o ti\u1ec1n do ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ed3ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c con b\u1ea1c c\u0169ng r\u01a1i v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng\u00a0thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch b\u1edfi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3<\/span>. Trong khi theo th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e1nh b\u1ea1c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng “b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng” k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u1eeb b\u1ea1n b\u00e8 v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi quen \u0111\u1ec3 bi\u1ec7n minh cho vi\u1ec7c h\u1ecd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ch\u01a1i.<\/p>\n

Thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch b\u1edfi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ch\u01a1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e0nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n l\u1edbn, v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh v\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n con b\u1ea1c r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi s\u00f2ng b\u00e0i.<\/p>\n

Trong m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng kinh doanh, s\u1ef1 qu\u00e1 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o “hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t” \u0111ang ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n v\u0103n h\u00f3a t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam n\u1ed7i s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i c\u1ee7a m\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i c\u00f3 t\u1ed5ng b\u1eb1ng kh\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n

V\u00ed d\u1ee5, m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i ng\u01b0\u1eddi s\u1ebd tin t\u01b0\u1edfng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i. Trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u00e0y, ch\u1ec9 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u00edt c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n c\u1ea9n th\u1eadn v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c t\u1ea1o ra s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng.<\/p>\n

N\u1eafm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u ri\u00eang t\u01b0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch b\u1edfi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3<\/span> c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i l\u00fac n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ec9 ra r\u00f5.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, s\u1ef1 suy \u0111\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ee9c th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ecb b\u1ecf qua trong k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ty. Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u1ebfu k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 x\u1ea5u th\u00ec c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb l\u00ean \u00e1n d\u1eef d\u1ed9i.<\/p>\n

(Theo Investopedia)<\/i><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\n Thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch b\u1edfi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 (ti\u1ebfng Anh: Outcome Bias) x\u1ea3y ra khi m\u1ed9t quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9.\n <\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[414],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23837"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23837"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23837\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23837"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23837"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23837"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}