{"id":25196,"date":"2023-12-07T00:16:15","date_gmt":"2023-12-07T00:16:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/duong-cong-hubbert-hubbert-curve-la-gi.html"},"modified":"2023-12-22T10:08:49","modified_gmt":"2023-12-22T03:08:49","slug":"duong-cong-hubbert-hubbert-curve-la-gi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/duong-cong-hubbert-hubbert-curve-la-gi.html","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong Hubbert (Hubbert Curve) l\u00e0 g\u00ec?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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H\u00ecnh minh h\u1ecda. Ngu\u1ed3n: energyeducation.ca<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong Hubbert<\/font><\/h2>\n

Kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m<\/b><\/p>\n

\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong Hubbert<\/b> trong ti\u1ebfng Anh l\u00e0\u00a0Hubbert Curve.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong Hubbert<\/i> l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a b\u1ea5t k\u00ec lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean thi\u00ean nhi\u00ean h\u1eefu h\u1ea1n n\u00e0o theo th\u1eddi gian. Khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u1ec3u th\u1ecb tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong Hubbert <\/i>c\u00f3 h\u00ecnh d\u1ea1ng gi\u1ed1ng m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong h\u00ecnh chu\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1ee9ng.<\/p>\n

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L\u00ed thuy\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1950 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch chu k\u00ec s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u h\u00f3a th\u1ea1ch v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u1ec1 chu k\u00ec s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a b\u1ea5t k\u00ec ngu\u1ed3n t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean h\u1eefu h\u1ea1n n\u00e0o.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong Hubbert<\/i> d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t l\u00ed thuy\u1ebft<\/span> li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00f2ng \u0111\u1eddi khai th\u00e1c c\u1ee7a b\u1ea5t k\u00ec t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean thi\u00ean nhi\u00ean h\u1eefu h\u1ea1n n\u00e0o, v\u00ed d\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf: T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ban \u0111\u1ea7u s\u1ebd b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf khi m\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng khai th\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh. Sau \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng khai th\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n s\u1ebd l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec9nh nh\u1edd c\u00f3 c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u0103m d\u00f2 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng. Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean s\u1ebd d\u1ea7n c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t. T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 khai th\u00e1c s\u1ebd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t s\u1ebd ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t.<\/p>\n

L\u00ed thuy\u1ebft<\/span> n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n b\u1edfi Marion King Hubbert, m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u1ea5t v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecba v\u1eadt l\u00ed ng\u01b0\u1eddi M\u1ef9. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a Hubbert k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p tr\u1eef l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n m\u1ecf d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef m\u1edbi v\u00e0 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0o trong m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n v\u00f2ng \u0111\u1eddi c\u1ee7a t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean thi\u00ean nhi\u00ean; v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ec9nh cao nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t m\u1ed9t t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean thi\u00ean nhi\u00ean s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra \u1edf gi\u1eefa chu k\u00ec.<\/p>\n

\u00dd ngh\u0129a c\u1ee7a \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong Hubbert<\/font><\/h3>\n

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C\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ecnh b\u00e0y b\u1edfi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong Hubbert<\/i>\u00a0mang t\u00ednh tr\u1ef1c quan v\u00e0 d\u1ec5 hi\u1ec3u.\u00a0<\/p>\n

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Ch\u00fang c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u1ea3 tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 trong m\u1ed9t khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ecba l\u00ed h\u1ea1n h\u1eb9p. Ngh\u0129a l\u00e0, t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi theo th\u1eddi gian c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u1ec3u th\u1ecb theo \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong Hubbert<\/i>; ho\u1eb7c s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a\u00a0Saudi Arabia ho\u1eb7c Texas c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u1ec3u di\u1ec5n tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 v\u1edbi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 gi\u1ed1ng nhau \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1ng kinh ng\u1ea1c.<\/p>\n

K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1, l\u00ed thuy\u1ebft<\/span> n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 cao v\u00e0 ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn trong c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng khoa h\u1ecdc v\u00ec kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a b\u1ea5t k\u00ec t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean thi\u00ean nhi\u00ean h\u1eefu h\u1ea1n n\u00e0o.\u00a0<\/p>\n

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Theo m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 theo l\u00ed thuy\u1ebft<\/span> c\u1ee7a Hubber \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec9nh trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1970. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1eabn c\u00f2n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u tranh c\u00e3i v\u1ec1 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec9nh c\u1ee7a s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u00fd ki\u1ebfn cho r\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 chi\u1ebft xu\u1ea5t d\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00f9i th\u1eddi k\u00ec s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u b\u1ecb suy gi\u1ea3m sang m\u1ed9t t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai xa h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Trong th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi th\u1ef1c, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong Hubbert <\/b>kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fac n\u00e0o c\u0169ng l\u00e0 h\u00ecnh chu\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1ee9ng ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o. Nh\u1eefng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i nh\u01b0 qui \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n ra c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean thi\u00ean nhi\u00ean thay th\u1ebf v\u00e0 c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0nh khai th\u00e1c t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1ee9ng.<\/p>\n

(Theo investopedia<\/i>)<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\n \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong Hubbert (ti\u1ebfng Anh: Hubbert Curve) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a b\u1ea5t k\u00ec lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean thi\u00ean nhi\u00ean h\u1eefu h\u1ea1n n\u00e0o theo th\u1eddi gian.\n <\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[414],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25196"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25196"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25196\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25196"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25196"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25196"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}