{"id":25500,"date":"2023-12-07T01:34:49","date_gmt":"2023-12-07T01:34:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/mo-hinh-phuc-hoi-hinh-chu-u-u-shaped-recovery-la-gi-cac-dang-suy-thoai-thuong-gap.html"},"modified":"2023-12-22T10:33:23","modified_gmt":"2023-12-22T03:33:23","slug":"mo-hinh-phuc-hoi-hinh-chu-u-u-shaped-recovery-la-gi-cac-dang-suy-thoai-thuong-gap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/mo-hinh-phuc-hoi-hinh-chu-u-u-shaped-recovery-la-gi-cac-dang-suy-thoai-thuong-gap.html","title":{"rendered":"M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U (U-Shaped Recovery) l\u00e0 g\u00ec? C\u00e1c d\u1ea1ng suy tho\u00e1i th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Hi\u0300nh minh ho\u0323a. Ngu\u00f4\u0300n: Degruyter.com<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U<\/font><\/h2>\n

Kha\u0301i ni\u00ea\u0323m<\/b><\/p>\n

M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U<\/b> trong ti\u00ea\u0301ng Anh la\u0300 U-Shaped Recovery<\/b>.<\/p>\n

M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U<\/b> th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n h\u00ecnh d\u1ea1ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng s\u1ed1 kinh t\u1ebf nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, GDP v\u00e0 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf tr\u1ea3i qua s\u1ef1 suy tho\u00e1i d\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 t\u0103ng d\u1ea7n tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. <\/p>\n

\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U <\/font><\/h3>\n

M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U<\/b> m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i suy tho\u00e1i v\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 c\u00f3 h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o n\u00ean do c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh kinh t\u1ebf, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, GDP v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n r\u1ed3i sau \u0111\u00f3 t\u0103ng d\u1ea7n theo th\u1eddi gian v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh ban \u0111\u1ea7u, th\u01b0\u1eddng trong kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian t\u1eeb 12 \u0111\u1ebfn 24 th\u00e1ng.<\/p>\n

Khi c\u00f3 suy tho\u00e1i d\u1ea1ng ch\u1eef U, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf khi suy tho\u00e1i ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y s\u1ebd \u1edf l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e1y m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian, sau \u0111\u00f3 m\u1edbi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec9nh nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc suy tho\u00e1i.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c d\u1ea1ng suy tho\u00e1i th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p<\/font><\/h3>\n

H\u00ecnh d\u1ea1ng suy tho\u00e1i l\u00e0 c\u00e1c kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m ng\u1eafn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i suy tho\u00e1i kh\u00e1c nhau. B\u1ea5t k\u00ec s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng hay lo\u1ea1i suy tho\u00e1i v\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i n\u00e0o c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u1ec3u di\u1ec5n tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3, c\u00e1c h\u00ecnh d\u1ea1ng ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn nh\u1ea5t bao g\u1ed3m h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U, h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef V, h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W v\u00e0 h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef L.<\/p>\n

– Suy tho\u00e1i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef V b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i m\u1ea1nh (\u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ed1c xu\u1ed1ng), ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y v\u00e0 nhanh ch\u00f3ng h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c. Lo\u1ea1i suy tho\u00e1i n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n suy tho\u00e1i t\u00edch c\u1ef1c nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n

– Suy tho\u00e1i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 suy tho\u00e1i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef V, nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 suy gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa sau khi c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i gi\u1ea3. N\u00f3 c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 suy tho\u00e1i k\u00e9p, v\u00ec n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf suy tho\u00e1i hai l\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n.<\/p>\n

– Suy tho\u00e1i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef L l\u00e0 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p x\u1ea5u nh\u1ea5t, d\u1ea1ng suy tho\u00e1i n\u00e0y m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i gi\u1ea3m nhanh ch\u00f3ng nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i hay th\u1eddi gian ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7.<\/p>\n

V\u00ed d\u1ee5 v\u1ec1 cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U<\/font><\/h3>\n

Trong s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1945 \u0111\u1ebfn nay, kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf cho l\u00e0 theo d\u1ea1ng h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U, \u0111i\u1ec3n h\u00ecnh l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i n\u0103m 1973 – 1975 v\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i n\u0103m 1981 – 1982.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U<\/b> \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd nh\u1ea5t trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i n\u0103m 1973 – 1975. N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u suy tho\u00e1i v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 1973 v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c suy gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1eb9 trong hai n\u0103m ti\u1ebfp theo v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c GDP gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng 3.2% l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u0169ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1975. <\/p>\n

C\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n v\u00e0o suy tho\u00e1i n\u00e0y c\u00f3 cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf n\u0103m 1973 khi\u1ebfn cho gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n n\u0103m 1973 – 1974, m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i, l\u00e0m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n l\u1edbn tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t v\u00ed d\u1ee5 kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i n\u0103m 1981 – 1982 v\u1edbi t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 10.8% v\u00e0 GDP\u00a0ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y \u1edf m\u1ee9c 2.7%, nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 do c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u1edf M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u0103m 1979.<\/p>\n

(Theo Investopedia<\/i>)<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\n M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U (ti\u1ebfng Anh: U-Shaped Recovery) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i suy tho\u00e1i v\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 d\u1ea1ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u1ec3u di\u1ec5n tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3.\n <\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[414],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25500"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25500"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25500\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25500"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25500"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25500"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}