{"id":25519,"date":"2023-12-07T01:35:48","date_gmt":"2023-12-07T01:35:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/mo-hinh-phuc-hoi-hinh-chu-w-w-shaped-recovery-la-gi-dac-diem.html"},"modified":"2023-12-22T10:33:25","modified_gmt":"2023-12-22T03:33:25","slug":"mo-hinh-phuc-hoi-hinh-chu-w-w-shaped-recovery-la-gi-dac-diem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/mo-hinh-phuc-hoi-hinh-chu-w-w-shaped-recovery-la-gi-dac-diem.html","title":{"rendered":"M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W (W-Shaped Recovery) l\u00e0 g\u00ec? \u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Hi\u0300nh minh ho\u0323a. Ngu\u00f4\u0300n: Forbes.com<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W<\/font><\/h2>\n

Kha\u0301i ni\u1ec7m<\/b><\/p>\n

M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W<\/b> trong ti\u00ea\u0301ng Anh la\u0300 W-Shaped Recovery<\/b>.<\/p>\n

M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W<\/b> l\u00e0 kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng khi h\u00ecnh d\u1ea1ng khi bi\u1ec3u di\u1ec5n c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng s\u1ed1 kinh t\u1ebf nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, GDP, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, v.v.. tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh trong c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y, sau \u0111\u00f3 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 k\u1ebft th\u00fac v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Ph\u1ea7n gi\u1eefa c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang gi\u00e1 xu\u1ed1ng (bear market) ho\u1eb7c m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i b\u1ecb k\u00ecm h\u00e3m b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ed5 sung. <\/p>\n

\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W<\/font><\/h3>\n

M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W<\/b> \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ef1c \u0111oan h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kh\u00e1c (m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef L, h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef V, h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U v\u00e0 h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef J). <\/p>\n

Suy tho\u00e1i d\u1ea1ng h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 suy tho\u00e1i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef V, nh\u01b0ng sau khi c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i kh\u00e1c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n. Suy tho\u00e1i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 suy tho\u00e1i k\u00e9p<\/b> do n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf trai qua suy tho\u00e1i hai l\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n.<\/p>\n

Suy tho\u00e1i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W g\u00e2y nhi\u1ec1u t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i h\u01a1n do nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 quay l\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng sau l\u1ea9n suy tho\u00e1i \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u00ec h\u1ecd tin r\u1eb1ng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y, cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng h\u1ecd ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu th\u00eam m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i n\u1eefa tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eebng tr\u1ea3i qua m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1980. T\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 1 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 7 n\u0103m 1980, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ea3i qua th\u1eddi k\u00ec suy tho\u00e1i ban \u0111\u1ea7u, sau \u0111\u00f3 b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i g\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi r\u01a1i v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 hai v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1981 \u0111\u1ebfn 1982.<\/p>\n

M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u00e1c<\/font><\/h3>\n

M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef V<\/b> b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh theo sau l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nhanh ch\u00f3ng v\u00e0 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng suy tho\u00e1i k\u00e9p c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W. Suy tho\u00e1i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef V \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p suy tho\u00e1i c\u00f3 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c nh\u1ea5t. <\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef U b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 suy tho\u00e1i ch\u1eadm v\u00e0 d\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ebfn khi ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y, v\u00e0 \u1edf l\u1ea1i \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00e1y m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef L<\/b>, m\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 lo\u1ea1i suy tho\u00e1i t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t. N\u00f3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i m\u1ea1nh, theo sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i r\u1ea5t ch\u1eadm, th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u1eadp k\u1ec9 tr\u1edf l\u00ean. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 l\u00ed do t\u1ea1i sao suy tho\u00e1i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef L c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng kinh t\u1ebf do n\u00f3 m\u1ea5t qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i. <\/p>\n

Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ea3i qua m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990 sau khi ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00ec lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n. Sau khi t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh. Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ea5t kho\u1ea3ng m\u01b0\u1eddi n\u0103m \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i sau s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c \u00fd ch\u00ednh<\/font><\/h3>\n

– M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W<\/b> di\u1ec5n t\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf khi tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c chuy\u1ec3n sang m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i kh\u00e1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i.<\/p>\n

– C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ea1o n\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh d\u1ea1ng suy tho\u00e1i c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

– Suy tho\u00e1i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y nhi\u1ec1u t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t h\u01a1n do s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u1eeba c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 quay l\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm.<\/p>\n

(Theo Investopedia<\/i>)<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\n M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef W (ti\u1ebfng Anh: W-Shaped Recovery) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chu k\u00ec suy tho\u00e1i v\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 d\u1ea1ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 ch\u1eef W khi bi\u1ec3u di\u1ec5n tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3.\n <\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[414],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25519"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25519"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25519\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25519"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25519"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25519"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}