{"id":26141,"date":"2023-12-07T02:24:43","date_gmt":"2023-12-07T02:24:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/phuong-phap-du-bao-forecasting-method-trong-tham-dinh-du-an-la-gi.html"},"modified":"2023-12-22T11:29:15","modified_gmt":"2023-12-22T04:29:15","slug":"phuong-phap-du-bao-forecasting-method-trong-tham-dinh-du-an-la-gi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/phuong-phap-du-bao-forecasting-method-trong-tham-dinh-du-an-la-gi.html","title":{"rendered":"Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o (Forecasting method) trong th\u1ea9m \u0111\u1ecbnh d\u1ef1 \u00e1n l\u00e0 g\u00ec?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
<\/div>\n
\n

H\u00ecnh minh ho\u1ea1 (Ngu\u1ed3n: salesforce)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o trong th\u1ea9m \u0111\u1ecbnh d\u1ef1 \u00e1n<\/font><\/h2>\n

Kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m<\/b><\/p>\n

Phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o<\/b> trong ti\u1ebfng Anh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 forecasting method.<\/b><\/p>\n

Phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o<\/b> l\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p s\u01b0\u0309 du\u0323ng ca\u0301c s\u00f4\u0301 li\u1eb9\u0302u \u0111i\u00ea\u0300u tra th\u00f4\u0301ng ke\u0302 va\u0300 v\u1ea1\u0302n du\u0323ng phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o phu\u0300 h\u01a1\u0323p \u0111\u00ea\u0309 th\u00e2\u0309m \u0111i\u0323nh, ki\u00ea\u0309m tra v\u00ea\u0300 m\u01b0\u0301c cung – c\u00e2\u0300u sa\u0309n ph\u00e2\u0309m cu\u0309a d\u01b0\u0323 a\u0301n, thi\u00ea\u0301t bi\u0323, nguye\u0302n v\u1ea1\u0302t li\u1eb9\u0302u va\u0300 ca\u0301c \u0111\u00e2\u0300u va\u0300o kh\u00e1c\u2026<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o<\/font><\/h3>\n

Phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p ngoa\u0323i suy th\u00f4\u0301ng ke\u0302: <\/b>la\u0300 phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o d\u01b0\u0323a tre\u0302n co\u031b s\u01a1\u0309 th\u00f4\u0301ng ke\u0302 ca\u0301c s\u00f4\u0301 li\u1eb9\u0302u trong qua\u0301 kh\u01b0\u0301 theo m\u1ecd\u0302t tie\u0302u th\u01b0\u0301c na\u0300o \u0111o\u0301 \u0111\u00ea\u0309 ti\u0300m ra xu hu\u031b\u01a1\u0301ng, ti\u0301nh qui lu\u1ea1\u0302t bi\u00ea\u0301n \u0111\u00f4\u0309i cu\u0309a no\u0301 trong qua\u0301 kh\u01b0\u0301, hi\u1eb9\u0302n ta\u0323i nh\u0103\u0300m d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o cho nh\u01b0\u0303ng na\u0306m ma\u0300 d\u01b0\u0323 a\u0301n d\u01b0\u0323 ki\u00ea\u0301n \u0111i va\u0300o hoa\u0323t \u0111\u1ecd\u0302ng.<\/p>\n

Phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p s\u01b0\u0309 du\u0323ng h\u1eb9\u0302 s\u00f4\u0301 co da\u0303n cu\u0309a c\u00e2\u0300u:<\/b> la\u0300 phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o tho\u0302ng qua vi\u1eb9\u0302c xem xe\u0301t s\u01b0\u0323 thay \u0111\u00f4\u0309i cu\u0309a lu\u031b\u01a1\u0323ng c\u00e2\u0300u khi t\u01b0\u0300ng nha\u0302n t\u00f4\u0301 a\u0309nh hu\u031b\u01a1\u0309ng \u0111\u00ea\u0301n lu\u031b\u01a1\u0323ng c\u00e2\u0300u nhu\u031b gia\u0301 ca\u0309, thu nh\u1ea1\u0302p, thi\u0323 hi\u00ea\u0301u… thay \u0111\u00f4\u0309i.<\/p>\n

Phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p \u0111i\u0323nh m\u01b0\u0301c: <\/b>la\u0300 phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o tho\u0302ng qua \u0111i\u0323nh m\u01b0\u0301c tie\u0302u du\u0300ng \u0111a\u0303 \u0111u\u031b\u01a1\u0323c xa\u0301c \u0111i\u0323nh.<\/p>\n

Phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p mo\u0302 hi\u0300nh h\u00f4\u0300i qui tu\u031bo\u031bng quan: <\/b>la\u0300 phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o tre\u0302n co\u031b s\u01a1\u0309 pha\u0302n ti\u0301ch m\u00f4\u0301i quan h\u1eb9\u0302 tu\u031bo\u031bng quan gi\u01b0\u0303a c\u00e2\u0300u thi\u0323 tru\u031b\u01a1\u0300ng va\u0300 ca\u0301c nha\u0302n t\u00f4\u0301 a\u0309nh hu\u031b\u01a1\u0309ng \u0111\u00ea\u0301n c\u00e2\u0300u thi\u0323 tru\u031b\u01a1\u0300ng nhu\u031b gia\u0301 ca\u0309; thu nh\u1ea1\u0302p cu\u0309a ngu\u031b\u01a1\u0300i tie\u0302u du\u0300ng, gia\u0301 ca\u0309 ha\u0300ng hoa\u0301 va\u0300 di\u0323ch vu\u0323 lie\u0302n quan, thi\u0323 hi\u00ea\u0301u cu\u0309a ngu\u031b\u01a1\u0300i tie\u0302u du\u0300ng…<\/p>\n

Phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p l\u00e2\u0301y y\u0301 ki\u00ea\u0301n chuye\u0302n gia: <\/b>la\u0300 phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o b\u0103\u0300ng ca\u0301ch t\u1ea1\u0302p h\u01a1\u0323p, ho\u0309i y\u0301 ki\u00ea\u0301n ca\u0301c chuye\u0302n gia gio\u0309i thu\u1ecd\u0302c ca\u0301c li\u0303nh v\u01b0\u0323c.<\/p>\n

\u01afu nh\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0 \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng<\/font><\/h3>\n

– U\u031bu \u0111i\u00ea\u0309m<\/b><\/p>\n

La\u0300m ta\u0306ng ti\u0301nh chi\u0301nh xa\u0301c cu\u0309a ca\u0301c quy\u00ea\u0301t \u0111i\u0323nh \u0111a\u0301nh gia\u0301 ti\u0301nh kha\u0309 thi cu\u0309a d\u01b0\u0323 a\u0301n trong qua\u0301 tri\u0300nh th\u00e2\u0309m \u0111i\u0323nh do ca\u0301c s\u00f4\u0301 li\u1eb9\u0302u d\u01b0\u0323 ti\u0301nh trong d\u01b0\u0323 a\u0301n \u0111a\u0303 \u0111u\u031b\u01a1\u0323c lu\u031b\u01a1\u0323ng ho\u0301a tre\u0302n co\u031b s\u01a1\u0309 khoa ho\u0323c.<\/p>\n

– Nhu\u031b\u01a1\u0323c \u0111i\u00ea\u0309m<\/b><\/p>\n

T\u00f4\u0301n th\u01a1\u0300i gian va\u0300 chi phi\u0301 th\u01b0\u0323c hi\u1eb9\u0302n cao: chi phi\u0301 \u0111\u00ea\u0309 ti\u00ea\u0301n ha\u0300nh l\u00e2\u0301y s\u00f4\u0301 li\u1eb9\u0302u th\u00f4\u0301ng ke\u0302, chi phi\u0301 thue\u0302 chuye\u0302n gia pha\u0302n ti\u0301ch…<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ecd\u0302 ru\u0309i ro cao do d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o co\u0301 th\u00ea\u0309 kho\u0302ng chi\u0301nh xa\u0301c do thi\u00ea\u0301u tho\u0302ng tin ho\u1ea1\u0306c do s\u01b0\u0323 thay \u0111\u00f4\u0309i b\u00e2\u0301t thu\u031b\u01a1\u0300ng cu\u0309a n\u00ea\u0300n kinh t\u00ea\u0301.<\/p>\n

K\u00ea\u0301t qua\u0309 th\u00e2\u0309m \u0111i\u0323nh d\u00ea\u0303 mang ti\u0301nh chu\u0309 quan cu\u0309a ngu\u031b\u01a1\u0300i d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o.<\/p>\n

Phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p ngoa\u0323i suy th\u00f4\u0301ng ke\u0302 chi\u0309 \u0111u\u031b\u01a1\u0323c s\u01b0\u0309 du\u0323ng trong d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o ng\u0103\u0301n ha\u0323n.<\/p>\n

– \u01af\u0301ng du\u0323ng<\/b>\u00a0<\/p>\n

Phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p na\u0300y \u0111u\u031b\u01a1\u0323c s\u01b0\u0309 du\u0323ng hi\u1eb9\u0302u qua\u0309 khi th\u00e2\u0309m \u0111i\u0323nh thi\u0323 tru\u031b\u01a1\u0300ng va\u0300 k\u0129 thu\u1ea1\u0302t cu\u0309a d\u01b0\u0323 a\u0301n, \u0111\u1ea1\u0306c bi\u1eb9\u0302t trong d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o qui mo\u0302 thi\u0323 tru\u031b\u01a1\u0300ng \u0111\u00e2\u0300u ra va\u0300 thi\u0323 tru\u031b\u01a1\u0300ng nguye\u0302n v\u1ea1\u0302t li\u1eb9\u0302u \u0111\u00e2\u0300u va\u0300o cu\u0309a d\u01b0\u0323 a\u0301n, d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o co\u0302ng ngh\u1eb9\u0302 d\u01b0\u0323 a\u0301n\u2026<\/p>\n

(T\u00e0i li\u1ec7u tham kh\u1ea3o: C\u00f4ng t\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c v\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p th\u1ea9m \u0111\u1ecbnh d\u1ef1 \u00e1n, Trung t\u00e2m \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o t\u1eeb xa, \u0110H Kinh t\u1ebf Qu\u1ed1c d\u00e2n)<\/i><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\n Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o (ti\u1ebfng Anh: Forecasting method) l\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u \u0111i\u1ec1u tra th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea v\u00e0 v\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ea9m \u0111\u1ecbnh, ki\u1ec3m tra v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c cung – c\u1ea7u s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m c\u1ee7a d\u1ef1 \u00e1n.\n <\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[414],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26141"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26141"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26141\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26141"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26141"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26141"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}