{"id":26408,"date":"2023-12-07T02:34:40","date_gmt":"2023-12-07T02:34:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/su-sai-lam-ti-le-co-so-base-rate-fallacy-la-gi-nhung-noi-dung-ve-su-sai-lam-ti-le-co-so.html"},"modified":"2023-12-22T14:49:25","modified_gmt":"2023-12-22T07:49:25","slug":"su-sai-lam-ti-le-co-so-base-rate-fallacy-la-gi-nhung-noi-dung-ve-su-sai-lam-ti-le-co-so","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/su-sai-lam-ti-le-co-so-base-rate-fallacy-la-gi-nhung-noi-dung-ve-su-sai-lam-ti-le-co-so.html","title":{"rendered":"S\u1ef1 sai l\u1ea7m t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 c\u01a1 s\u1edf (Base Rate Fallacy) l\u00e0 g\u00ec? Nh\u1eefng n\u1ed9i dung v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 sai l\u1ea7m t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 c\u01a1 s\u1edf"},"content":{"rendered":"
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H\u00ecnh minh h\u1ecda<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

S\u1ef1 sai l\u1ea7m t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 c\u01a1 s\u1edf (Base Rate Fallacy)<\/font><\/h2>\n

Kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m<\/b><\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 sai l\u1ea7m t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 c\u01a1 s\u1edf<\/b> trong ti\u1ebfng Anh c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00e1ch g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 Base Rate Fallacy<\/b> hay\u00a0Base Rate Neglect.<\/p>\n

S\u1ef1 sai l\u1ea7m t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 c\u01a1 s\u1edf<\/i> l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ed7i nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c trong b\u1edfi \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 qu\u00e1 \u00edt tr\u1ecdng y\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u01a1 s\u1edf ho\u1eb7c t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 ban \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng (v\u00ed d\u1ee5: x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a A cho B). Trong t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh h\u00e0nh vi, s\u1ef1 sai l\u1ea7m t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n l\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 sai kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ee7a t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u li\u00ean quan.<\/p>\n

Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1eadp trung nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o th\u00f4ng tin m\u1edbi m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n th\u1eeba nh\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh ban \u0111\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng n\u1ed9i dung v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 sai l\u1ea7m t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 c\u01a1 s\u1edf<\/font><\/h3>\n

Khi xem x\u00e9t th\u00f4ng tin t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 c\u01a1 s\u1edf, hai ph\u1ea1m tr\u00f9 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i khi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng trong c\u00e1c t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean l\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chung c\u00f2n th\u1ee9 hai l\u00e0 th\u00f4ng tin c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i bao nhi\u00eau \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n; c\u00f3 bao nhi\u00eau ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m c\u00f4ng ty b\u1ecb m\u1ea5t thu nh\u1eadp; ho\u1eb7c c\u00f3 bao nhi\u00eau l\u1ea7n c\u00f4ng ty thay \u0111\u1ed5i qu\u1ea3n l\u00ed. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00fa tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n v\u00e0o th\u00f4ng tin c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 cho s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n n\u00e0y trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u00f4i khi b\u1ecf qua ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 th\u00f4ng tin c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n th\u01b0\u1eddng r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ho\u1eb7c ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n kh\u1ed1ng, nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u1edd m\u1edd l\u1edbn h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n

V\u00ed d\u1ee5, m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng ty s\u1ebd v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi nh\u00f3m c\u00f4ng ty ngang h\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u00e0 n\u1ed5i l\u00ean nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng ty d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0nh.<\/p>\n

Trong khi n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a th\u00f4ng tin – T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ty, t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, qu\u1ea3n l\u00ed v\u1edbi h\u1ed3 s\u01a1 theo d\u00f5i \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ee9ng minh v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0nh c\u00f3 nhu c\u1ea7u m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd – t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9 ra kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i th\u00ec m\u1ed9t qu\u00ed c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ty c\u00f3 thu nh\u1eadp th\u1ea5p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 quay l\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111ang thay \u0111\u1ed5i ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ty.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n h\u01a1n, c\u00f4ng ty n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed1m s\u00e1ng nh\u1ecf trong s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng chung c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh.<\/p>\n

(T\u00e0i li\u1ec7u tham kh\u1ea3o: investopedia.com)<\/i><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\n S\u1ef1 sai l\u1ea7m t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 c\u01a1 s\u1edf (ti\u1ebfng Anh: Base Rate Fallacy) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ed7i nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c trong b\u1edfi \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 qu\u00e1 \u00edt tr\u1ecdng y\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u01a1 s\u1edf ho\u1eb7c t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 ban \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng.\n <\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[414],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26408"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26408"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26408\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26408"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26408"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26408"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}