{"id":31613,"date":"2023-12-07T10:52:39","date_gmt":"2023-12-07T10:52:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/li-thuyet-chi-so-tin-cay-trong-chung-khoan-la-gi.html"},"modified":"2023-12-23T09:38:37","modified_gmt":"2023-12-23T02:38:37","slug":"li-thuyet-chi-so-tin-cay-trong-chung-khoan-la-gi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/li-thuyet-chi-so-tin-cay-trong-chung-khoan-la-gi.html","title":{"rendered":"L\u00ed thuy\u1ebft ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 tin c\u1eady trong ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n l\u00e0 g\u00ec?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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H\u00ecnh minh h\u1ecda (Ngu\u1ed3n: wikihow)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

L\u00ed thuy\u1ebft ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 tin c\u1eady<\/font><\/h2>\n

Kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m<\/b><\/p>\n

L\u00ed thuy\u1ebft ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 tin c\u1eady<\/b> l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng c\u01a1 s\u1edf l\u00ed thuy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u0129 thu\u1eadt trong ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u0129 thu\u1eadt l\u00e0 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u xu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u00ean xu\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u00e0 khuynh h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u00ean xu\u1ed1ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ec3 xem x\u00e9t th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u00edch h\u1ee3p cho vi\u1ec7c mua b\u00e1n ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n.<\/p>\n

L\u00ed thuy\u1ebft n\u00e0y s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 tin c\u1eady Barron (Barron’s\u00a0Confidence Index).<\/b><\/p>\n

Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 tin c\u1eady Barron l\u00e0 t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 so s\u00e1nh v\u1ec1 l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu th\u1ee9 h\u1ea1ng cao v\u00e0 c\u00e1c tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu th\u1ee9 h\u1ea1ng th\u1ea5p.\u00a0<\/p>\n

N\u1ebfu ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 tin c\u1eady t\u0103ng, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng ch\u1ea5p thu\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u00f3 th\u1ee9 h\u1ea1ng \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1ee9c t\u00edn nhi\u1ec7m th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n. Gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu th\u1ee9 h\u1ea1ng th\u1ea5p s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean khi c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua.\u00a0<\/p>\n

K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0 l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0m thu h\u1eb9p s\u1ef1 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u00f3 th\u1ee9 h\u1ea1ng cao v\u00e0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u00f3 th\u1ee9 h\u1ea1ng th\u1ea5p.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a l\u00ed thuy\u1ebft<\/font><\/h3>\n

C\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a l\u00ed thuy\u1ebft ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 tin c\u1eady h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u0129 thu\u1eadt trong d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n xu th\u1ebf bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 sau:<\/p>\n

– Th\u1ecb gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 h\u00e0ng ho\u00e1 hay d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec1u ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1edfi m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 cung c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

– Cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1, c\u1ea3 logic v\u00e0 phi logic. Nh\u1eefng nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y ngo\u00e0i c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 kinh t\u1ebf trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n c\u00f2n bao h\u00e0m c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 t\u00e2m l\u00ed v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh c\u00e1c nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ee7 v\u00e0 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c.<\/p>\n

– Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ecf trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00f3i chung \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng theo c\u00e1c xu th\u1ebf, c\u00e1c xu th\u1ebf n\u00e0y di\u1ec5n ra trong c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

– C\u00e1c nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n g\u00e2y ra c\u00e1c xu th\u1ebf tr\u1ed9i trong giao d\u1ecbch ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n nh\u1edd v\u00e0o ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u00ean \u0111ang \u0111\u1eb7t ra nhi\u1ec1u v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 b\u00e0n c\u00e3i, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 theo tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e1i l\u00ed thuy\u1ebft th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd v\u1edbi c\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u00ean.<\/p>\n

(T\u00e0i li\u1ec7u tham kh\u1ea3o: Gi\u00e1o tr\u00ecnh Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n, NXB T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh<\/i>, )<\/i><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\n L\u00ed thuy\u1ebft ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 tin c\u1eady th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u0129 thu\u1eadt tu\u00e2n theo \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch c\u00e1c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00f3i chung v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n n\u00f3i ri\u00eang.\n <\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[417],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31613"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31613"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31613\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31613"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31613"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31613"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}