{"id":34194,"date":"2023-12-08T03:51:48","date_gmt":"2023-12-08T03:51:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/du-bao-tieu-thu-forecast-consumption-la-gi-cac-phuong-phap-du-bao.html"},"modified":"2023-12-08T03:51:48","modified_gmt":"2023-12-08T03:51:48","slug":"du-bao-tieu-thu-forecast-consumption-la-gi-cac-phuong-phap-du-bao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/du-bao-tieu-thu-forecast-consumption-la-gi-cac-phuong-phap-du-bao.html","title":{"rendered":"D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 (Forecast consumption) l\u00e0 g\u00ec? C\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\"D\u1ef1<\/div>
\n

H\u00ecnh minh ho\u1ea1 (Ngu\u1ed3n: flexpackmag)<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ti\u00eau th\u1ee5<\/font><\/h2>\n

Kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m<\/b><\/p>\n

D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ti\u00eau th\u1ee5<\/b> t\u1ea1m d\u1ecbch sang ti\u1ebfng Anh l\u00e0 Forecast consumption.<\/b><\/p>\n

D\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o tie\u0302u thu\u0323 <\/b>chi\u0309 la\u0300 d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o b\u0103\u0300ng ca\u0301c k\u0129<\/span> thu\u1ea1\u0302t kha\u0309 na\u0306ng tie\u0302u thu\u0323 cu\u0309a doanh nghi\u1eb9\u0302p trong tu\u031bo\u031bng lai.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 to\u00e1n ti\u00eau th\u1ee5<\/font><\/h3>\n

Tho\u0302ng thu\u031b\u01a1\u0300ng nh\u01b0\u0303ng s\u00f4\u0301 li\u1eb9\u0302u d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o na\u0300y se\u0303 \u0111u\u031b\u01a1\u0323c ca\u0301c nha\u0300 qua\u0309n l\u00ed<\/span> \u0111i\u00ea\u0300u chi\u0309nh, ti\u0301nh toa\u0301n la\u0323i \u0111\u00ea\u0309 co\u0301 d\u01b0\u0323 toa\u0301n tie\u0302u thu\u0323. Chi\u0301nh vi\u0300 v\u1ea1\u0302y, s\u00f4\u0301 li\u1eb9\u0302u cu\u0309a d\u01b0\u0323 toa\u0301n tie\u0302u thu\u0323 thu\u031b\u01a1\u0300ng kha\u0301c v\u01a1\u0301i k\u00ea\u0301t qua\u0309 d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o tie\u0302u thu\u0323.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Do d\u01b0\u0323 toa\u0301n tie\u0302u thu\u0323 d\u01b0\u0323a va\u0300o co\u0302ng ta\u0301c d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o ti\u0300nh hi\u0300nh tie\u0302u thu\u0323, vi\u0300 v\u1ea1\u0302y d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o ti\u0300nh hi\u0300nh tie\u0302u thu\u0323 la\u0300 kha\u0302u \u0111\u00e2\u0300u tie\u0302n va\u0300 la\u0300 kha\u0302u then ch\u00f4\u0301t trong qu\u0301a tri\u0300nh xa\u0302y d\u01b0\u0323ng d\u01b0\u0323 toa\u0301n t\u00f4\u0309ng th\u00ea\u0309. D\u01b0\u0323 toa\u0301n na\u0300y ta\u0323o ra trung ta\u0302m l\u01a1\u0323i nhu\u1ea1\u0302n cho phe\u0301p doanh nghi\u1eb9\u0302p hoa\u0323t \u0111\u1ecd\u0302ng.<\/p>\n

Ca\u0301c nha\u0302n t\u00f4\u0301 a\u0309nh hu\u031b\u01a1\u0309ng \u0111\u00ea\u0301n co\u0302ng ta\u0301c d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o tie\u0302u thu\u0323<\/font><\/h3>\n

\u0110\u00ea\u0309 \u0111a\u0309m ba\u0309o hoa\u0323t \u0111\u1ecd\u0302ng tie\u0302u thu\u0323 cu\u0309a co\u0302ng ty \u0111u\u031b\u01a1\u0323c d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o chi\u0301nh xa\u0301c, ngu\u031b\u01a1\u0300i la\u0300m co\u0302ng ta\u0301c d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o c\u00e2\u0300n quan ta\u0302m\u0111\u00ea\u0301n ca\u0301c nha\u0302n t\u00f4\u0301 sau:<\/p>\n

– V\u00ea\u0300 m\u1ea1\u0306t xa\u0303 h\u1ecd\u0302i<\/b><\/p>\n

+ Ti\u0300nh hi\u0300nh tie\u0302u thu\u0323 trong nh\u01b0\u0303ng na\u0306m tru\u031b\u01a1\u0301c<\/p>\n

+ \u0110i\u00ea\u0300u ki\u1eb9\u0302n, ti\u0300nh hi\u0300nh chung cu\u0309a n\u00ea\u0300n kinh t\u00ea\u0301 va\u0300 nga\u0300nh<\/p>\n

+ M\u00f4\u0301i quan h\u1eb9\u0302 gi\u01b0\u0303a tie\u0302u thu\u0323 v\u01a1\u0301i m\u1ecd\u0302t s \u00f4\u0301 chi\u0309 tie\u0302u kinh t\u00ea\u0301 nhu\u031b GDP, thu nh\u1ea1\u0302p \u0111\u00e2\u0300u ngu\u031b\u01a1\u0300i,vi\u1eb9\u0302c la\u0300m, gia\u0301 ca\u0309 va\u0300 sa\u0309n xu\u00e2\u0301t cu\u0309a nga\u0300nh<\/p>\n

+ Kha\u0309 na\u0306ng sinh l\u01a1\u0323i cu\u0309a sa\u0309n ph\u00e2\u0309m<\/p>\n

+ Chi\u0301nh sa\u0301ch gia\u0301 ca\u0309 (\u0111i\u0323nh gia\u0301)<\/p>\n

+ Chi\u0301nh sa\u0301ch qua\u0309ng ca\u0301o va\u0300 khuy\u00ea\u0301ch tru\u031bo\u031bng<\/p>\n

+ Ch\u00e2\u0301t lu\u031b\u01a1\u0323ng cu\u0309a \u0111\u1ecd\u0302i ngu\u0303 ba\u0301n ha\u0300ng<\/p>\n

+ Ti\u0300nh hi\u0300nh ca\u0301c \u0111\u00f4\u0301i thu\u0309 ca\u0323nh tranh<\/p>\n

+ Khuynh hu\u031b\u01a1\u0301ng tie\u0302u thu\u0323 ca\u0301c sa\u0309n ph\u00e2\u0309m kha\u0301c trong tu\u031bo\u031bng lai<\/p>\n

– V\u00ea\u0300 hu\u031b\u01a1\u0301ng ti\u00ea\u0301p c\u1ea1\u0302n Marketing<\/b><\/p>\n

+ Qui mo\u0302, ki\u0301ch thu\u031b\u01a1\u0301c cu\u0309a thi\u0323 tru\u031b\u01a1\u0300ng<\/p>\n

+ S\u01b0\u0323 ti\u00ea\u0301n hoa\u0301 va\u0300 xu hu\u031b\u01a1\u0301ng cu\u0309a thi\u0323 tru\u031b\u01a1\u0300ng<\/p>\n

Ca\u0301c nha\u0302n t\u00f4\u0301 tre\u0302n pha\u0309i \u0111u\u031b\u01a1\u0323c xem xe\u0301t cu\u0323 th\u00ea\u0309 va\u0300 v\u1ea1\u0302n du\u0323ng ca\u0301c co\u0302ng cu\u0323 th\u00f4\u0301ng ke\u0302 toa\u0301n \u0111\u00ea\u0309 xa\u0302y d\u01b0\u0323ng \u0111u\u031b\u01a1\u0323c con s\u00f4\u0301 d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o h\u01a1\u0323p l\u00ed nh\u00e2\u0301t.<\/p>\n

Ca\u0301c phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o tie\u0302u thu\u0323<\/font><\/h3>\n

Co\u0301 nhi\u00ea\u0300u phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p \u0111\u00ea\u0309 d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o tie\u0302u thu\u0323, nhu\u031bng chung qui co\u0301 th\u00ea\u0309 pha\u0302n tha\u0300nh hai phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p chi\u0301nh:<\/p>\n

– Phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p \u0111i\u0323nh ti\u0301nh (qualitative method)<\/b><\/p>\n

Theo phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p na\u0300y, s\u00f4\u0301 li\u1eb9\u0302u d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o xa\u0302y d\u01b0\u0323ng tre\u0302n co\u031b s\u01a1\u0309 kinh nghi\u1eb9\u0302m cu\u0309a ca\u0301c nh\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00ed doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9i ng\u0169 chuy\u00ean gia.<\/p>\n

– Phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p \u0111i\u0323nh lu\u031b\u01a1\u0323ng (quantitative method)<\/b><\/p>\n

Phu\u031bo\u031bng pha\u0301p na\u0300y v\u00ea\u0300 th\u01b0\u0323c ch\u00e2\u0301t a\u0301p du\u0323ng ca\u0301c k\u0129 thu\u1ea1\u0302t cu\u0309a th\u00f4\u0301ng ke\u0302 toa\u0301n \u0111\u00ea\u0309 pha\u0302n ti\u0301ch xu hu\u031b\u01a1\u0301ng, d\u01b0\u0323 \u0111oa\u0301n chu k\u00ec sa\u0309n ph\u00e2\u0309m va\u0300 tu\u031bo\u031bng quan h\u00f4\u0300i qui \u0111\u00ea\u0309 ti\u00ea\u0301n ha\u0300nh d\u01b0\u0323 ba\u0301o.<\/p>\n

(T\u00e0i li\u1ec7u tham kh\u1ea3o: Gi\u00e1o tr\u00ecnh K\u1ebf to\u00e1n Qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb, Trung t\u00e2m \u0110\u00e0o t\u1ea1o tr\u1ef1c tuy\u1ebfn, \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Kinh doanh v\u00e0 C\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i)<\/i><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\n D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 (ti\u1ebfng Anh: Forecast consumption) ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c k\u0129 thu\u1eadt kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a doanh nghi\u1ec7p trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.\n <\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[419],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34194"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34194"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34194\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34194"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34194"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/masterskills.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34194"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}